Two months into the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA forecasters updated their prediction for how many tropical storms ...

ENSO-neutral conditions The natural climate pattern is collectively known as ENSO, or the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. ENSO-neutral refers to periods when neither El Niño nor La Niña is ...

Life on Earth runs on cycles,day and night, seasons, and tides. But one of the most powerful and far-reaching climate cycles is the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which alternates between ...

Editor's Note: This story was updated at 10 a.m. EDT. on July 12 to note that the El Niño Southern Oscillation climate cycle, not a specific El Niño event, can be predicted well in advance.

The researchers analyzed models that allow the climate to evolve without any influence from human activity to show that there is a 10-percent chance that a spike in temperatures occurs when an El ...

El Niño-southern oscillation-neutral conditions are forecast to persist through the summer of 2025, and while the cycle may not play a major role on day-to-day weather, it could be a significant ...

The latest forecast indicates La Niña conditions could return just in time for winter despite El Niño-Southern Oscillation-neutral conditions well past the end of summer, according to the ...

The climate pattern had been anticipated for months but didn’t fully emerge until late December, and even then, it arrived at minimal strength and faded quickly. As of mid-April, more than ...

The El Niño event, a huge blob of warm ocean water in the tropical Pacific Ocean that can change rainfall patterns around the globe, isn't just a modern phenomenon. A new modeling study from a pair of ...