Predicting the POP The United States began nationwide probability forecasting in 1965. Much of forecasting involved human intuition from studying weather maps, Jeglum said.

The precipitation outlook for July is forecasting a 40-50 percent probability for above-average rainfall for all but the northwest corner of the state (which has a 33-40 percent chance).

The claim is based on an article in the journal Nature titled “Probabilistic weather forecasting with machine learning.” The authors wrote that “Recent advances in machine learning (ML ...

Epstein said he looks at forecasts not just for the most likely scenarios, but for mid-range and low-range probability conditions. “You can't do that yet with any of the AI stuff,” at least at this ...